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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Chatswood weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Chatswood today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 22°, with a 77% chance of rain.

22°14°
22°12°
17°11°
18°
16°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 54%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 48%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 17° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 55%

Latest for Chatswood: European (ECMWF): 19° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 18° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Chatswood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
22° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
22° 12°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
24° 10°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 13°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
21° 12°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±4°
Fri
Clear
26°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
28° 15°
models agree

Chatswood, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 973 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Chatswood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Chatswood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
26°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
19°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
23°
12°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chatswood?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±2.2 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±3.3 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree22° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±4°20° to 23°±47%30% to 77% chance
Tue±1°17° to 18°±51%20% to 71% chance
Wed±3°16° to 19°±75%3% to 78% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±14%3% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chatswood

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chatswood today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Chatswood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chatswood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Chatswood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chatswood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chatswood (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chatswood?
December is typically the warmest month in Chatswood, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Chatswood get?
The coldest month in Chatswood is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Chatswood get?
Chatswood sees roughly 973 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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