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CheckWeather AU›Canley Vale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Canley Vale weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Canley Vale today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 34°, with a 94% chance of rain.

30°16°
34°18°
22°15°
24°12°
26°11°
25°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Light drizzle
Today 29°·Low 16°·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
31°
Cloudy
Today 31°·Low 17°·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Fog
Today 30°·Low 15°·Rain 8%
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Canley Vale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Canley Vale swings 22°C across the year, from 28°C highs in December to 6°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 845 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
December
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
February
845 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Canley Vale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Canley Vale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Canley Vale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
30° 16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
34° 18°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
26° 11°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 12°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
25° 15°
±8°
Sat
Light rain
28° 16°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 14°
±5°

Canley Vale, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 845 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Canley Vale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Canley Vale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
18°
Feb
27°
17°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
23°
13°
May
19°
9°
Jun
17°
7°
Jul
17°
6°
Aug
18°
6°
Sep
22°
7°
Oct
24°
10°
Nov
25°
15°
Dec
28°
17°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Canley Vale has changed since 1995

Canley Vale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sydney. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sydney page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canley Vale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±2.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
80
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±1.4 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C88±5.8 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°29° to 31°±34%3% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±2°33° to 35°±51%43% to 94% chance
Mon±2°20° to 23°±18%69% to 87% chance
Tue±2°23° to 25°±60%11% to 71% chance
Wed±3°24° to 27°±56%9% to 65% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canley Vale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canley Vale today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 30° in Canley Vale today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 34°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Canley Vale today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Canley Vale on Sunday 25 October: European 75%, American 94%, German 43%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 37%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canley Vale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canley Vale (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canley Vale?
December is typically the warmest month in Canley Vale, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Canley Vale get?
The coldest month in Canley Vale is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Canley Vale get?
Canley Vale sees roughly 845 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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