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CheckWeather AU›Bracken Ridge
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bracken Ridge weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Bracken Ridge today. Tomorrow: rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°19°
25°20°
31°20°
27°19°
26°19°
23°19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 18°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Heavy drizzle
Today 24°·Low 18°·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
23°
Thunderstorm
Today 23°·Low 20°·Rain 95%
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Bracken Ridge weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bracken Ridge swings 18°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 10°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1116 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
1116 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
17,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bracken Ridge and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bracken Ridge hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bracken Ridge 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
24° 19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
25° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
31° 20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
27° 19°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
26° 19°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 19°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 18°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 19°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
31° 19°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 18°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
28° 17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree

Bracken Ridge, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1116 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bracken Ridge right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bracken Ridge climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
22°
Feb
27°
21°
Mar
27°
20°
Apr
25°
17°
May
23°
14°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
20°
10°
Aug
21°
12°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
25°
16°
Nov
26°
19°
Dec
28°
21°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bracken Ridge has changed since 1995

Bracken Ridge sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brisbane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Brisbane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bracken Ridge?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±2.6 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C94±2.8 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.5 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°±22%78% to 100% chance
Mon±2°30° to 32°±9%54% to 63% chance
Tue±5°25° to 29°±42%15% to 57% chance
Wed±5°23° to 27°±29%20% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bracken Ridge

today, local time
Sunrise
05:04
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bracken Ridge today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Bracken Ridge today. Tomorrow: rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bracken Ridge today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Bracken Ridge on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 78% (European 100%, American 92%, German 78%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bracken Ridge?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bracken Ridge (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bracken Ridge?
January is typically the warmest month in Bracken Ridge, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Bracken Ridge get?
The coldest month in Bracken Ridge is July, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Bracken Ridge get?
Bracken Ridge sees roughly 1116 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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