Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Bowen weather
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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Bowen's high today between 26° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 28°, with a 35% chance of rain.
Bowen swings 14°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 16°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 941 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
16°C average low
Wettest month
February
941 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Bowen and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bowen hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Bowen 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
27°22°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
28°24°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
29°23°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
29°23°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29°24°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
29°24°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
29°24°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
29°24°
±2°
Sun
Clear
30°23°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
30°23°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
29°23°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
28°21°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
28°22°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
30°23°
models agree
Bowen, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 16°C), with roughly 941 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bowen right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
25°
Feb
30°
25°
Mar
29°
24°
Apr
28°
22°
May
26°
20°
Jun
24°
17°
Jul
23°
16°
Aug
25°
17°
Sep
26°
19°
Oct
28°
21°
Nov
29°
24°
Dec
30°
25°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Bowen's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C
Around Bowen, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−4%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.2°C
+49
+0%
1996
+0.1°C
+36
+2%
1997
−0.7°C
−31
+2%
1998
+0.6°C
+26
−2%
1999
−0.5°C
−34
+4%
2000
−0.9°C
−61
+4%
2001
+0.5°C
+28
+0%
2002
+0.4°C
+40
+2%
2003
+0.3°C
+7
+2%
2004
+0.3°C
+25
+0%
2005
+0.5°C
+43
+2%
2006
−0.3°C
−2
+8%
2007
−0.5°C
−23
+0%
2008
−0.4°C
−32
−2%
2009
±0.0°C
−30
−2%
2010
+0.1°C
−60
+0%
2011
−0.9°C
−43
+0%
2012
−0.6°C
−1
−4%
2013
±0.0°C
−24
−2%
2014
−0.3°C
−2
+2%
2015
+0.5°C
+57
−2%
2016
+0.6°C
+25
−6%
2017
±0.0°C
+3
−6%
2018
±0.0°C
−10
+0%
2019
−0.4°C
−32
+2%
2020
+0.1°C
+12
−2%
2021
+0.1°C
−13
−6%
2022
+0.1°C
+19
−4%
2023
+0.3°C
+1
+0%
2024
+0.6°C
+30
+0%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bowen, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Bowen?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C
98±0.8 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
92
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C
97±1.7 km/h
9597% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
88
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C
96±2.0 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°26° to 28°
±4%93% to 97% chance
Tomorrow
±2°27° to 29°
±14%21% to 35% chance
Mon
±2°28° to 30°
±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue
±2°28° to 30°
±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed
±1°28° to 29°
±20%10% to 30% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Bowen
today, local time
Sunrise
05:30
Sunset
18:12
Daylight
12h 42m
Common questions
What's the weather in Bowen today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Bowen's high today between 26° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 28°, with a 35% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bowen today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Bowen on Sunday 25 October: European 32%, American 21%, German 35%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 97%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bowen?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bowen (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bowen?
January is typically the warmest month in Bowen, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Bowen get?
The coldest month in Bowen is July, when overnight lows average about 16°C.
How much rain does Bowen get?
Bowen sees roughly 941 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Bowen getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bowen, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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