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Black Rock weather

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EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light rain
Feels 20° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Drizzle
Feels 19° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Light showers
Feels 22° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 96%

Latest for Black Rock: European (ECMWF): 19° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Light showers.

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Black Rock weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Black Rock swings 19°C across the year, from 25°C highs in January to 6°C lows in August, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 688 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
25°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
November
688 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,952
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Black Rock and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Black Rock hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Black Rock 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Black Rock, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 688 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Black Rock right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Black Rock climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
25°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
23°
14°
Apr
18°
11°
May
16°
8°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
13°
7°
Aug
14°
6°
Sep
16°
8°
Oct
18°
9°
Nov
21°
12°
Dec
23°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Black Rock has changed since 1995

Black Rock sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Melbourne. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Melbourne page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Black Rock?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
77±1.3°C96±2.1 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C91±4.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C93±3.7 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Black Rock today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Black Rock today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Black Rock today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Black Rock and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Black Rock?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Black Rock (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Black Rock?
January is typically the warmest month in Black Rock, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Black Rock get?
The coldest month in Black Rock is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Black Rock get?
Black Rock sees roughly 688 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

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