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CheckWeather AUBalwyn North
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Balwyn North weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Balwyn North today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 44% chance of rain.

17°11°
14°
16°
13°
14°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 65%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Balwyn North: European (ECMWF): 11° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 12° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Balwyn North and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
17°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
21° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±7°

Balwyn North is a small town of about 21,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.8°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Balwyn North with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Mont Albert North, Balwyn, Doncaster.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Balwyn North?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±1.8 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±32%5% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±31%13% to 44% chance
Tue±2°14° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°12° to 14°±32%38% to 70% chance
Thu±1°13° to 15°±15%0% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Balwyn North

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Balwyn North today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Balwyn North today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Balwyn North today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Balwyn North and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Balwyn North?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Balwyn North (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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