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CheckWeather AUBalgowlah
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Balgowlah weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Balgowlah today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 21°, with a 77% chance of rain.

22°15°
21°13°
17°12°
18°
16°10°
20°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 54%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 48%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 18° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 58%

Latest for Balgowlah: European (ECMWF): 19° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 18° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Balgowlah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
21° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
19° 11°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
24° 10°
±3°
Mon
Mostly clear
30° 14°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
21° 12°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Fri
Clear
26° 10°
±3°
Sat
Mostly clear
29° 15°
models agree

Balgowlah, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1051 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Balgowlah right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Balgowlah climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
26°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
Jul
17°
Aug
19°
10°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
22°
13°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
26°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Balgowlah?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C99±0.7 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±4°20° to 23°±47%30% to 77% chance
Tue±2°17° to 18°±51%20% to 71% chance
Wed±2°17° to 19°±75%3% to 78% chance
Thumodels agree16° to 17°±14%3% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Balgowlah

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Balgowlah today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Balgowlah today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Balgowlah today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Balgowlah and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Balgowlah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Balgowlah (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Balgowlah?
January is typically the warmest month in Balgowlah, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Balgowlah get?
The coldest month in Balgowlah is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Balgowlah get?
Balgowlah sees roughly 1051 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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