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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUBalga
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Balga weather

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Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Balga today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 21°, with a 0% chance of rain.

17°12°
21°11°
20°12°
20°11°
23°13°
23°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low 13°·Rain 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 88%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Showers
Today 17°·Low 12°·Rain 75%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Balga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
21° 11°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19° 15°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±4°
Tue
Clear
23° 12°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
22° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
21° 13°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
17° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 13°
±3°

Balga is a small town of about 14,000 people in Western Australia, sitting at 31.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Balga with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Westminster, Girrawheen, Balcatta.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Balga?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.8 km/t100100% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C90±4.8 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C88±6.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°±17%75% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°20° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±3°22° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Balga

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
11h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Balga today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Balga today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Balga today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Balga and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Balga?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Balga (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather