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CheckWeather AUAtherton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Atherton weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Atherton's high today between 24° and 27°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 25°, with a 8% chance of rain.

25°11°
25°12°
27°15°
26°15°
22°14°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
27°
Cloudy
Today 27°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 12°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Atherton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
25° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
25° 12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
27° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 15°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
22° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree

Atherton, Queensland is at its warmest in Nov (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 13°C), with roughly 1597 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Atherton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Atherton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
20°
Feb
26°
20°
Mar
26°
19°
Apr
25°
18°
May
22°
15°
Jun
22°
14°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
27°
15°
Nov
28°
17°
Dec
28°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Atherton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
72±1.6°C90±4.9 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°24° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°23° to 27°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±2°26° to 28°±23%0% to 23% chance
Wed±2°24° to 27°±45%0% to 45% chance
Thu±2°22° to 24°±37%0% to 37% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Atherton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
11h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Atherton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Atherton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Atherton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Atherton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Atherton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Atherton (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Atherton?
November is typically the warmest month in Atherton, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Atherton get?
The coldest month in Atherton is July, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Atherton get?
Atherton sees roughly 1597 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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