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CheckWeather AUArmadale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Armadale weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 14° in Armadale today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°
15°
13°
14°
18°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°Saturdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Mainly clear
Feels 15° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 46%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Mainly clear
Feels 14° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 53%

Latest for Armadale: European (ECMWF): 16° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 15° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Armadale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
17°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
15°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Sun
Clear
21°
±4°

Armadale is a small town of about 9,368 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Armadale with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Malvern, Toorak, Caulfield North.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Armadale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±3.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.6 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C96±2.0 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 14°±33%20% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±40%33% to 73% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±3%1% to 4% chance
Fri±4°16° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Armadale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
11h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Armadale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Armadale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Armadale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Armadale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Armadale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Armadale (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather