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Niseko weather

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EuropeanECMWF
8°
Clear
Feels 5° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 51%
AmericanNOAA GFS
7°
Clear
Feels 4° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 59%
GermanDWD ICON
9°
Mainly clear
Feels 6° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 50%

Latest for Niseko: European (ECMWF): 8° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 7° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 9° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Niseko and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Niseko? Niseko, Japan, sits at 42.8°N in a temperate climate zone. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Niseko right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a ski trip, watch the temperature and where the models disagree on the freezing level.

Best time to visit Niseko

The most comfortable time to visit Niseko is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.

Niseko weather by month

what to expect in Niseko through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Niseko's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Niseko by season.

Jan
-2°
-10°
Cold
Feb
-1°
-9°
Cold
Mar
5°
-8°
Cold
Apr
12°
0°
Cool
May
17°
6°
Mild
Jun
22°
11°
Warm
Jul
26°
16°
Warm
Aug
28°
17°
Warm
Wettest
Sep
23°
12°
Warm
Oct
16°
5°
Mild
Nov
8°
-2°
Cool
Dec
-1°
-8°
Cold

Niseko compared with Sydney

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Cooler through the year

−10°C

average daytime high: Niseko 13°C, Sydney 23°C

Rain over a year

+57%

Niseko 1,806 mm, Sydney 1,148 mm

Sunlight vs a clear sky

60% vs 77%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

NisekoSydneyaverage daytime high, °C, 1991-2020
January, Sydney: 27°CJanuary, Niseko: -2°C (−29°C)February, Sydney: 28°CFebruary, Niseko: -1°C (−29°C)March, Sydney: 26°CMarch, Niseko: 5°C (−21°C)April, Sydney: 24°CApril, Niseko: 12°C (−12°C)May, Sydney: 22°CMay, Niseko: 17°C (−5°C)June, Sydney: 18°CJune, Niseko: 22°C (+4°C)July, Sydney: 18°CJuly, Niseko: 26°C (+8°C)August, Sydney: 20°CAugust, Niseko: 28°C (+8°C)September, Sydney: 22°CSeptember, Niseko: 23°C (+1°C)October, Sydney: 24°COctober, Niseko: 16°C (−8°C)November, Sydney: 25°CNovember, Niseko: 8°C (−17°C)December, Sydney: 27°CDecember, Niseko: -1°C (−28°C)

On 30-year averages Niseko runs 10°C cooler than Sydney, with every month between −29°C and +8°C. Over a year it gets 57% more rain than Sydney.

Month by month in numbers
MonthNisekoSydneyDifferenceSunlight, NisekoSunlight, Sydney
January-2°C27°C−29°C49%75%
February-1°C28°C−29°C52%73%
March5°C26°C−21°C61%75%
April12°C24°C−12°C67%77%
May17°C22°C−5°C68%79%
June22°C18°C+4°C63%74%
July26°C18°C+8°C59%80%
August28°C20°C+8°C63%82%
September23°C22°C+1°C67%82%
October16°C24°C−8°C66%77%
November8°C25°C−17°C56%74%
December-1°C27°C−28°C49%74%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Niseko: no weather station within 30 km at a similar height, so lows are ERA5 point values for 2023-2024, corrected month by month by NASA POWER's difference between those two years and 1991-2020, and highs are the uncorrected ERA5 values, which tested closer to station normals; rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. Sydney: station normals from Sydney Observatory Hill (WMO), rain included. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. Sydney stands in for Australia here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Niseko?
The most comfortable time to visit Niseko is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Niseko during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Niseko - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Niseko?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Niseko than Sydney?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Niseko is about 10°C cooler than in Sydney (13°C against 23°C), with the monthly gap between -29°C and 8°C.

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