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Mexico weather

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EuropeanECMWF
75°
Clear
Feels 82° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Clear
Feels 82° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 84%
GermanDWD ICON
78°
Mainly clear
Feels 86° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Mexico: European (ECMWF): 75° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 75° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 78° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mexico and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Mexico? Mexico, Mexico, sits at 21.2°N in a tropical climate zone. The averages on this page are measured at Cancún, the main gateway for US travellers; inland and mountain areas run cooler. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Mexico right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Where to go in Mexico

We cover 7 destinations in Mexico, each with its own live three-model comparison and long-run averages. The table shows the typical daytime high in January and July and the wettest month, so you can see how much the coast, the cities and the islands differ before you pick dates.

DestinationJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Cancún81°F89°FSeptember55 in
Cabo San Lucas78°F92°FSeptember13 in
Puerto Vallarta79°F88°FSeptember48 in
Playa del Carmen81°F89°FSeptember54 in
Tulum82°F89°FOctober52 in
Cozumel81°F89°FOctober53 in
Mexico City69°F75°FJuly26 in

Best time to visit Mexico

The most comfortable time to visit Mexico is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 75-92°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Mexico weather by month

what to expect in Mexico through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Mexico's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mexico by season.

Jan
81°
70°
Warm
Feb
81°
69°
Warm
Mar
84°
72°
Warm
Apr
86°
74°
Hot
May
89°
75°
Hot
Jun
88°
74°
Hot
Jul
89°
77°
Hot
Aug
90°
77°
Hot
Sep
89°
76°
Hot
Wettest
Oct
86°
74°
Hot
Nov
84°
72°
Warm
Dec
81°
71°
Warm

Mexico compared with New York City

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Warmer through the year

+23°F

average daytime high: Mexico 86°F, New York City 63°F

Rain over a year

+10%

Mexico 55 in, New York City 50 in

Sunlight vs a clear sky

84% vs 72%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

MexicoNew York Cityaverage daytime high, °F, 1991-2020
January, New York City: 40°FJanuary, Mexico: 81°F (+41°F)February, New York City: 42°FFebruary, Mexico: 81°F (+39°F)March, New York City: 50°FMarch, Mexico: 84°F (+34°F)April, New York City: 62°FApril, Mexico: 86°F (+24°F)May, New York City: 71°FMay, Mexico: 89°F (+18°F)June, New York City: 80°FJune, Mexico: 88°F (+8°F)July, New York City: 85°FJuly, Mexico: 89°F (+4°F)August, New York City: 83°FAugust, Mexico: 90°F (+7°F)September, New York City: 76°FSeptember, Mexico: 89°F (+13°F)October, New York City: 65°FOctober, Mexico: 86°F (+21°F)November, New York City: 54°FNovember, Mexico: 84°F (+30°F)December, New York City: 44°FDecember, Mexico: 81°F (+37°F)

On 30-year averages Mexico runs 23°F warmer than New York City, with every month between +4°F and +41°F. Over a year it gets 10% more rain than New York City.

Month by month in numbers
MonthMexicoNew York CityDifferenceSunlight, MexicoSunlight, New York City
January81°F40°F+41°F79%68%
February81°F42°F+39°F84%71%
March84°F50°F+34°F88%69%
April86°F62°F+24°F89%71%
May89°F71°F+18°F87%70%
June88°F80°F+8°F80%76%
July89°F85°F+4°F88%80%
August90°F83°F+7°F87%78%
September89°F76°F+13°F83%76%
October86°F65°F+21°F80%71%
November84°F54°F+30°F81%72%
December81°F44°F+37°F81%66%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Mexico: no weather station within 30 km at a similar height, so lows are ERA5 point values for 2023-2024, corrected month by month by NASA POWER's difference between those two years and 1991-2020, and highs are the uncorrected ERA5 values, which tested closer to station normals; rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. New York City: station normals from New York Central Park (WMO), rain included. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. New York City stands in for the US here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Mexico?
The most comfortable time to visit Mexico is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 75-92°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Mexico during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Mexico - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mexico?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Mexico than New York City?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Mexico is about 23°F warmer than in New York City (86°F against 63°F), with the monthly gap between 4°F and 41°F.

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