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Cabo San Lucas weather

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EuropeanECMWF
77°
Clear
Feels 82° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Clear
Feels 76° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 78%
GermanDWD ICON
77°
Clear
Feels 80° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 66%

Latest for Cabo San Lucas: European (ECMWF): 77° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 74° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 77° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cabo San Lucas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Cabo San Lucas? Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, sits at 22.9°N in a tropical climate zone. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Cabo San Lucas right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Best time to visit Cabo San Lucas

The most comfortable time to visit Cabo San Lucas is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 75-92°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Cabo San Lucas weather by month

what to expect in Cabo San Lucas through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Cabo San Lucas's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Cabo San Lucas by season.

Jan
78°
60°
Warm
Feb
78°
61°
Warm
Mar
80°
63°
Warm
Apr
83°
65°
Warm
May
87°
70°
Hot
Jun
88°
73°
Hot
Jul
92°
77°
Hot
Aug
92°
77°
Hot
Sep
92°
76°
Hot
Wettest
Oct
89°
74°
Hot
Nov
84°
68°
Warm
Dec
82°
62°
Warm

Cabo San Lucas compared with New York City

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Warmer through the year

+22°F

average daytime high: Cabo San Lucas 85°F, New York City 63°F

Rain over a year

−74%

Cabo San Lucas 13 in, New York City 50 in

Sunlight vs a clear sky

90% vs 72%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

Cabo San LucasNew York Cityaverage daytime high, °F, 1991-2020
January, New York City: 40°FJanuary, Cabo San Lucas: 78°F (+38°F)February, New York City: 42°FFebruary, Cabo San Lucas: 78°F (+36°F)March, New York City: 50°FMarch, Cabo San Lucas: 80°F (+30°F)April, New York City: 62°FApril, Cabo San Lucas: 83°F (+21°F)May, New York City: 71°FMay, Cabo San Lucas: 87°F (+16°F)June, New York City: 80°FJune, Cabo San Lucas: 88°F (+8°F)July, New York City: 85°FJuly, Cabo San Lucas: 92°F (+7°F)August, New York City: 83°FAugust, Cabo San Lucas: 92°F (+9°F)September, New York City: 76°FSeptember, Cabo San Lucas: 92°F (+16°F)October, New York City: 65°FOctober, Cabo San Lucas: 89°F (+24°F)November, New York City: 54°FNovember, Cabo San Lucas: 84°F (+30°F)December, New York City: 44°FDecember, Cabo San Lucas: 82°F (+38°F)

On 30-year averages Cabo San Lucas runs 22°F warmer than New York City, with every month between +7°F and +38°F. Over a year it gets 74% less rain than New York City.

Month by month in numbers
MonthCabo San LucasNew York CityDifferenceSunlight, Cabo San LucasSunlight, New York City
January78°F40°F+38°F86%68%
February78°F42°F+36°F89%71%
March80°F50°F+30°F92%69%
April83°F62°F+21°F92%71%
May87°F71°F+16°F94%70%
June88°F80°F+8°F93%76%
July92°F85°F+7°F91%80%
August92°F83°F+9°F89%78%
September92°F76°F+16°F87%76%
October89°F65°F+24°F93%71%
November84°F54°F+30°F91%72%
December82°F44°F+38°F86%66%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Cabo San Lucas: no weather station within 30 km at a similar height, so lows are ERA5 point values for 2023-2024, corrected month by month by NASA POWER's difference between those two years and 1991-2020, and highs are the uncorrected ERA5 values, which tested closer to station normals; rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. New York City: station normals from New York Central Park (WMO), rain included. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. New York City stands in for the US here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Cabo San Lucas?
The most comfortable time to visit Cabo San Lucas is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 75-92°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Cabo San Lucas during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Cabo San Lucas - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cabo San Lucas?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Cabo San Lucas than New York City?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Cabo San Lucas is about 22°F warmer than in New York City (85°F against 63°F), with the monthly gap between 7°F and 38°F.

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