Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Listowel today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 67% chance of rain.
Met Office, European, American side by side around Listowel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Listowel hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Listowel 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18°13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17°15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
15°11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°8°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
15°10°
models agree
Fri
Light rain
15°11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
13°10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°10°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
14°10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°12°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
13°9°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12°9°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
15°11°
models agree
Listowel is a small town of about 4,820 people in Co. Kerry, sitting at 52.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Listowel with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Abbeyfeale, Kilrush, Castleisland.
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C
Around Listowel, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Frost nights
3 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.2°C
−2
+1%
1996
−0.8°C
+13
+1%
1997
+0.4°C
+3
−1%
1998
+0.1°C
−1
+6%
1999
+0.2°C
−4
+4%
2000
−0.2°C
−2
+2%
2001
−0.3°C
+7
−8%
2002
±0.0°C
−7
+4%
2003
+0.2°C
−2
+1%
2004
+0.1°C
−2
+1%
2005
+0.3°C
−3
+1%
2006
+0.2°C
−0
−1%
2007
+0.5°C
−5
−3%
2008
−0.1°C
−0
+6%
2009
−0.3°C
+1
−1%
2010
−1.2°C
+33
−11%
2011
−0.2°C
+5
+4%
2012
−0.2°C
−4
−1%
2013
−0.3°C
+13
+2%
2014
+0.2°C
−7
−1%
2015
−0.4°C
−4
+7%
2016
−0.2°C
−1
−3%
2017
+0.2°C
−5
−1%
2018
±0.0°C
+6
−1%
2019
+0.1°C
−5
+2%
2020
−0.1°C
−7
+7%
2021
+0.4°C
−4
−6%
2022
+0.5°C
−0
−3%
2023
+0.9°C
−4
−1%
2024
+0.3°C
−2
−3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Listowel, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Ireland?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C
96±1.8 km/h
8089% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C
92±4.2 km/h
6782% hit
Met Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American
81
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C
94±2.8 km/h
6279% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°18° to 19°
±20%13% to 33% chance
Tomorrow
±2°17° to 18°
±41%26% to 67% chance
Tue
models agree15° to 15°
±48%52% to 100% chance
Wed
models agree13° to 13°
±64%36% to 100% chance
Thu
±1°14° to 15°
±49%51% to 100% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Listowel
today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
11h 24m
Common questions
What's the weather in Listowel today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Listowel today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 67% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Listowel today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Listowel on Monday 5 October: Met Office 67%, European 66%, American 26%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Listowel?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Listowel forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested IE accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
Is Listowel getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Listowel, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
