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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Letterkenny weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Letterkenny today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°10°
16°11°
13°7°
11°7°
12°7°
15°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Light drizzle
Feels 16° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Letterkenny: Met Office (UKMO model): 17° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Overcast.

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Letterkenny weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Letterkenny swings 15°C across the year, from 17°C highs in June to 2°C lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1345 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
January
1345 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
23,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Letterkenny and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Letterkenny hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Letterkenny 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
12° 7°
±3°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11° 9°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
14° 9°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 9°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
13° 11°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 10°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
11° 4°
models agree

Letterkenny, Co. Donegal. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Letterkenny right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Letterkenny's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Letterkenny weather by month

what to expect in Letterkenny through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Letterkenny's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Letterkenny by season.

Jan
7°
3°
Cold
Wettest
Feb
7°
2°
Cold
Mar
9°
3°
Cool
Apr
11°
4°
Cool
May
14°
7°
Cool
Jun
17°
10°
Mild
Jul
17°
11°
Mild
Aug
17°
12°
Mild
Sep
16°
9°
Mild
Oct
13°
8°
Cool
Nov
9°
4°
Cool
Dec
7°
3°
Cold

What Letterkenny's weather is like through the year

Letterkenny runs from warm summers, with June highs near 17°C, to cool winters, when February lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Letterkenny sees roughly 1345 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Letterkenny

The most comfortable time to visit Letterkenny is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

How Letterkenny's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C

Around Letterkenny, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1998: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

5 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +10 vs the 30-year average1996: +12 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: −0 vs the 30-year average1999: −7 vs the 30-year average2000: −1 vs the 30-year average2001: +11 vs the 30-year average2002: −7 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: −7 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: −6 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: −1 vs the 30-year average2010: +31 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: +20 vs the 30-year average2014: −5 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −7 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: +6 vs the 30-year average2019: −5 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −0 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −1 vs the 30-year average2024: −7 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +6% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: +3% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −13% vs the 30-year average2011: +3% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: +6% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +5% vs the 30-year average2021: −10% vs the 30-year average2022: −0% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C+10+3%
1996−0.8°C+12−2%
1997+0.3°C+1−2%
1998±0.0°C−0+6%
1999±0.0°C−7+6%
2000−0.3°C−1+1%
2001−0.5°C+11−5%
2002±0.0°C−7+3%
2003+0.2°C+1−2%
2004+0.1°C−3+3%
2005+0.3°C−7+3%
2006+0.3°C−0−0%
2007+0.4°C−6+1%
2008−0.2°C−4+5%
2009−0.1°C−1+1%
2010−1.1°C+31−13%
2011±0.0°C−0+3%
2012−0.5°C−5−3%
2013−0.5°C+20+1%
2014+0.1°C−5−3%
2015−0.7°C−3+6%
2016−0.2°C−7−3%
2017+0.1°C−2−0%
2018−0.2°C+6−0%
2019±0.0°C−5−2%
2020−0.1°C−7+5%
2021+0.3°C−0−10%
2022+0.6°C−6−0%
2023+0.9°C−1−3%
2024+0.4°C−7−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Letterkenny, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Letterkenny?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.4 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
91
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C90±4.8 km/h9597% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±2.1 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Letterkenny, scoring 98/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 91. See the full IE accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 18°±33%34% to 67% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±18%82% to 100% chance
Tue±1°13° to 14°±28%39% to 67% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±27%67% to 94% chance
Thu±3°10° to 13°±23%67% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Letterkenny

today, local time
Sunrise
07:38
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
11h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Letterkenny today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Letterkenny today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Letterkenny today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Letterkenny on Monday 5 October: every model gives at least 82% (Met Office 100%, European 82%, American 90%). On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 67%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Letterkenny?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Letterkenny (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Met Office at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Letterkenny?
June is typically the warmest month in Letterkenny, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Letterkenny get?
The coldest month in Letterkenny is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Letterkenny get?
Letterkenny sees roughly 1345 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Letterkenny?
The most comfortable time to visit Letterkenny is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Letterkenny?
Rarely - Letterkenny very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Letterkenny getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Letterkenny, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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