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CheckWeather IE›Gweedore
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Gweedore weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Gweedore today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°11°
15°11°
12°9°
11°8°
12°8°
14°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 99%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 12° · Wind 29 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 27 km/h · Humidity 98%

Latest for Gweedore: Met Office (UKMO model): 15° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 15° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Light drizzle.

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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Gweedore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gweedore hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gweedore 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Thu
Rain
12° 8°
±4°
Fri
Rain
14° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11° 10°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
13° 10°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
13° 11°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
13° 10°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree

Gweedore is a small town of about 4,200 people in Co. Donegal, sitting at 55.1°N in a cool, high-latitude climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Gweedore with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Derrybeg, Dunlewy, Letterkenny.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

How Gweedore's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C

Around Gweedore, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2008: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

3 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +5 vs the 30-year average1996: +4 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −0 vs the 30-year average2001: +4 vs the 30-year average2002: −3 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: −3 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: −1 vs the 30-year average2007: −2 vs the 30-year average2008: −3 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: +20 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: −1 vs the 30-year average2013: +20 vs the 30-year average2014: −4 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −4 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +4 vs the 30-year average2019: −4 vs the 30-year average2020: −4 vs the 30-year average2021: +2 vs the 30-year average2022: −4 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +6% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +4% vs the 30-year average2005: +3% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −13% vs the 30-year average2011: +4% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: +7% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −10% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995±0.0°C+5+3%
1996−0.7°C+4−2%
1997+0.4°C+1−2%
1998+0.1°C−1+6%
1999+0.1°C−4+6%
2000−0.2°C−0+1%
2001−0.4°C+4−5%
2002±0.0°C−3+3%
2003+0.3°C+2−1%
2004+0.2°C−3+4%
2005+0.3°C−4+3%
2006+0.4°C−1+1%
2007+0.5°C−2+1%
2008±0.0°C−3+4%
2009±0.0°C−2+1%
2010−1.0°C+20−13%
2011±0.0°C−0+4%
2012−0.4°C−1−4%
2013−0.4°C+20+1%
2014+0.2°C−4−4%
2015−0.6°C−2+7%
2016−0.1°C−4−2%
2017+0.2°C−3−1%
2018−0.1°C+4−1%
2019+0.1°C−4−2%
2020±0.0°C−4+6%
2021+0.4°C+2−10%
2022+0.6°C−4−1%
2023+1.0°C−2−4%
2024+0.4°C−3−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Gweedore, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ireland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8089% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±4.2 km/h6782% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±2.8 km/h6279% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°±8%92% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±1%99% to 100% chance
Tue±1°12° to 13°±30%37% to 67% chance
Wedmodels agree11° to 11°±21%67% to 88% chance
Thu±4°11° to 14°±21%67% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gweedore

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
19:01
Daylight
11h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gweedore today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Gweedore today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gweedore today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Gweedore on Monday 5 October: every model gives at least 99% (Met Office 100%, European 99%, American 100%). On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gweedore?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Gweedore forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested IE accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
Is Gweedore getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Gweedore, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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