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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kilkenny weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Kilkenny today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 80% chance of rain.

19°8°
19°15°
15°10°
13°6°
13°6°
15°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Partly cloudy
Feels 18° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Kilkenny: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Partly cloudy · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

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Kilkenny weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Kilkenny swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 2°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 990 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
990 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
22,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Kilkenny and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kilkenny hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kilkenny 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13° 6°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
13° 6°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 10°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
13° 7°
±4°

Kilkenny, Co. Kilkenny. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Kilkenny right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Kilkenny's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Kilkenny weather by month

what to expect in Kilkenny through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Kilkenny's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Kilkenny by season.

Jan
8°
3°
Cool
Feb
8°
2°
Cool
Mar
9°
3°
Cool
Apr
11°
5°
Cool
May
14°
7°
Cool
Jun
18°
10°
Mild
Jul
18°
11°
Mild
Aug
19°
12°
Mild
Sep
16°
10°
Mild
Oct
13°
7°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
9°
5°
Cool
Dec
8°
4°
Cool

What Kilkenny's weather is like through the year

Kilkenny runs from warm summers, with August highs near 19°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Kilkenny sees roughly 990 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Kilkenny

The most comfortable time to visit Kilkenny is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How Kilkenny's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C

Around Kilkenny, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

4 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +7 vs the 30-year average1996: +22 vs the 30-year average1997: −2 vs the 30-year average1998: −5 vs the 30-year average1999: −12 vs the 30-year average2000: −3 vs the 30-year average2001: +13 vs the 30-year average2002: −16 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: −4 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: +3 vs the 30-year average2007: −14 vs the 30-year average2008: −1 vs the 30-year average2009: +11 vs the 30-year average2010: +52 vs the 30-year average2011: +6 vs the 30-year average2012: −14 vs the 30-year average2013: +21 vs the 30-year average2014: −14 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: −11 vs the 30-year average2020: −11 vs the 30-year average2021: −4 vs the 30-year average2022: −2 vs the 30-year average2023: −10 vs the 30-year average2024: −9 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +0% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −8% vs the 30-year average2002: +4% vs the 30-year average2003: +0% vs the 30-year average2004: +2% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: +0% vs the 30-year average2007: −2% vs the 30-year average2008: +6% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: −11% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: +6% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: +0% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: −4% vs the 30-year average2023: +0% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.2°C+7+2%
1996−0.8°C+22+0%
1997+0.5°C−2−2%
1998+0.2°C−5+6%
1999+0.1°C−12+4%
2000−0.2°C−3+2%
2001−0.4°C+13−8%
2002+0.1°C−16+4%
2003+0.2°C−1+0%
2004+0.1°C−4+2%
2005+0.3°C−8+2%
2006+0.3°C+3+0%
2007+0.5°C−14−2%
2008−0.2°C−1+6%
2009−0.4°C+11+0%
2010−1.3°C+52−11%
2011±0.0°C+6+2%
2012−0.4°C−14−2%
2013−0.5°C+21+2%
2014+0.2°C−14−2%
2015−0.4°C−1+6%
2016−0.2°C+3−4%
2017+0.2°C−2−2%
2018+0.2°C+9−4%
2019+0.1°C−11+0%
2020+0.1°C−11+6%
2021+0.4°C−4−6%
2022+0.6°C−2−4%
2023+0.9°C−10+0%
2024+0.4°C−9−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Kilkenny, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kilkenny?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.0 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C90±5.2 km/h7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Kilkenny, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 81. See the full IE accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 19°±27%6% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 20°±47%33% to 80% chance
Tuemodels agree15° to 15°±38%29% to 67% chance
Wed±1°12° to 14°±45%22% to 67% chance
Thu±1°12° to 14°±65%35% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kilkenny

today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
11h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kilkenny today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Kilkenny today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 80% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kilkenny today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kilkenny on Monday 5 October: Met Office 33%, European 80%, American 74%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kilkenny?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kilkenny (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Met Office at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kilkenny?
August is typically the warmest month in Kilkenny, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Kilkenny get?
The coldest month in Kilkenny is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Kilkenny get?
Kilkenny sees roughly 990 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Kilkenny?
The most comfortable time to visit Kilkenny is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Kilkenny?
Rarely - Kilkenny very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Kilkenny getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Kilkenny, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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