Ballinrobe weather
Loading live data…Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Ballinrobe today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 16°, with a 67% chance of rain.
Latest for Ballinrobe: Met Office (UKMO model): 16° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 16° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Light drizzle.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around Ballinrobe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Ballinrobe hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Ballinrobe 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitBallinrobe is a small town of about 2,786 people in Co. Mayo, sitting at 53.6°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Ballinrobe with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Claremorris, Castlebar, Westport.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.
How Ballinrobe's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround Ballinrobe, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
Frost nights
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Frost nights vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | +0.2°C | +3 | +2% |
| 1996 | −0.8°C | +20 | −1% |
| 1997 | +0.4°C | +1 | −1% |
| 1998 | +0.2°C | −5 | +7% |
| 1999 | +0.1°C | −4 | +6% |
| 2000 | −0.2°C | −3 | +2% |
| 2001 | −0.4°C | +14 | −8% |
| 2002 | ±0.0°C | −5 | +4% |
| 2003 | +0.2°C | +2 | +1% |
| 2004 | +0.1°C | −6 | +2% |
| 2005 | +0.3°C | −5 | +1% |
| 2006 | +0.4°C | +4 | +1% |
| 2007 | +0.6°C | −9 | −1% |
| 2008 | −0.1°C | −5 | +4% |
| 2009 | −0.2°C | +2 | −1% |
| 2010 | −1.2°C | +40 | −13% |
| 2011 | −0.1°C | +3 | +4% |
| 2012 | −0.3°C | −10 | −3% |
| 2013 | −0.2°C | +16 | +1% |
| 2014 | +0.2°C | −14 | −3% |
| 2015 | −0.6°C | −10 | +7% |
| 2016 | −0.2°C | −4 | −3% |
| 2017 | +0.1°C | −9 | −1% |
| 2018 | ±0.0°C | +4 | +1% |
| 2019 | +0.1°C | −9 | +1% |
| 2020 | ±0.0°C | −13 | +6% |
| 2021 | +0.5°C | −1 | −8% |
| 2022 | +0.6°C | −1 | −1% |
| 2023 | +0.9°C | −5 | −3% |
| 2024 | +0.3°C | −4 | −3% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Ballinrobe, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Ireland?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.