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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ballincollig weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Ballincollig today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 27% chance of rain.

18°12°
19°14°
16°10°
13°8°
15°8°
16°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Ballincollig: Met Office (UKMO model): 17° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

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Ballincollig weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ballincollig swings 15°C across the year, from 18°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1164 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
December
1164 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
19,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ballincollig and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ballincollig hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ballincollig 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
14° 9°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 11°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
15° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
15° 12°
models agree

Ballincollig, Co. Cork is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1164 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ballincollig right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Ballincollig climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
5°
May
14°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
18°
11°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
10°
6°
Dec
9°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ballincollig has changed since 1995

Ballincollig sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cork. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Cork page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ballincollig?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.2 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C92±4.1 km/h8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C95±2.6 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 19°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±27%0% to 27% chance
Tue±2°15° to 16°±32%33% to 65% chance
Wed±1°13° to 14°±49%18% to 67% chance
Thu±2°14° to 15°±73%27% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ballincollig

today, local time
Sunrise
07:40
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
11h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ballincollig today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Ballincollig today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 27% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ballincollig today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Ballincollig on Monday 5 October: Met Office 0%, European 27%, American 13%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 3%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ballincollig?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ballincollig (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ballincollig?
June is typically the warmest month in Ballincollig, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Ballincollig get?
The coldest month in Ballincollig is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Ballincollig get?
Ballincollig sees roughly 1164 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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