Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather IE›Carrigaline
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Carrigaline weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Carrigaline today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 19°, with a 33% chance of rain.

19°13°
19°14°
16°11°
14°8°
15°8°
16°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 83%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Overcast
Feels 15° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Carrigaline: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 16° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Carrigaline weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Carrigaline swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1265 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1265 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
18,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Carrigaline and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Carrigaline hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Carrigaline 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
13° 10°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
15° 13°
models agree

Carrigaline, Co. Cork is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1265 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Carrigaline right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Carrigaline climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
9°
3°
Feb
9°
4°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
5°
May
14°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
10°
6°
Dec
9°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Carrigaline has changed since 1995

Carrigaline sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Douglas. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Douglas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Carrigaline?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±1.9 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C95±2.6 km/h8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C92±4.2 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±33%0% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 20°±30%3% to 33% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±16%51% to 67% chance
Wed±1°13° to 14°±48%19% to 67% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±78%22% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carrigaline

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
11h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carrigaline today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Carrigaline today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 19°, with a 33% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Carrigaline today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Carrigaline on Monday 5 October: Met Office 33%, European 24%, American 3%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carrigaline?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carrigaline (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carrigaline?
August is typically the warmest month in Carrigaline, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Carrigaline get?
The coldest month in Carrigaline is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Carrigaline get?
Carrigaline sees roughly 1265 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More IE weather