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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Swords weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Swords today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 37% chance of rain.

19°10°
19°16°
16°10°
13°7°
13°6°
15°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Swords: Met Office (UKMO model): 19° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 18° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Overcast.

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Swords weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Swords swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 849 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
849 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
41,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Swords and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Swords hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Swords 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 16°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
13° 6°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
13° 7°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
12° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree

Swords, Co. Dublin. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Swords right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Swords's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Swords weather by month

what to expect in Swords through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Swords's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Swords by season.

Jan
8°
4°
Cool
Feb
8°
3°
Cool
Mar
9°
4°
Cool
Apr
11°
5°
Cool
May
14°
8°
Cool
Jun
17°
11°
Mild
Jul
18°
12°
Mild
Aug
19°
13°
Mild
Sep
16°
10°
Mild
Oct
14°
9°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
10°
5°
Cool
Dec
9°
5°
Cool

What Swords's weather is like through the year

Swords runs from warm summers, with August highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when February lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Swords sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Swords

The most comfortable time to visit Swords is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How the weather around Swords has changed since 1995

Swords sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dublin. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Dublin page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Swords?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±1.9 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C91±4.5 km/h8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C94±3.1 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Swords, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 89. See the full IE accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°±37%0% to 37% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±18%59% to 77% chance
Wed±1°13° to 13°±22%20% to 42% chance
Thu±1°13° to 13°±44%43% to 87% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Swords

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:54
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Swords today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 19° in Swords today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 19°, with a 37% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Swords today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Swords on Monday 5 October: Met Office 0%, European 37%, American 16%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Swords?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Swords (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Swords?
August is typically the warmest month in Swords, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Swords get?
The coldest month in Swords is February, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Swords get?
Swords sees roughly 849 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Swords?
The most comfortable time to visit Swords is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Swords?
Rarely - Swords very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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