Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Monaghan today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Monaghan swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in August to 2°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1005 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
August
18°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1005 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
7,894
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The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around Monaghan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Monaghan hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Monaghan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17°9°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17°12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°7°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°6°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
12°6°
±2°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
14°9°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
12°8°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
14°9°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
14°8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°10°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°10°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
11°5°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
10°5°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
12°4°
models agree
Monaghan, Co. Monaghan is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1005 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Monaghan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
7°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
16°
9°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
2°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Monaghan's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C
Around Monaghan, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Frost nights
6 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.1°C
+4
+5%
1996
−0.8°C
+26
+1%
1997
+0.3°C
−3
−1%
1998
+0.1°C
−3
+7%
1999
±0.0°C
−10
+7%
2000
−0.3°C
−5
+3%
2001
−0.5°C
+17
−7%
2002
+0.1°C
−15
+3%
2003
+0.1°C
+3
−3%
2004
+0.1°C
−4
+3%
2005
+0.3°C
−10
+1%
2006
+0.3°C
−4
−1%
2007
+0.4°C
−13
−1%
2008
−0.3°C
+3
+5%
2009
−0.3°C
+14
+1%
2010
−1.3°C
+51
−12%
2011
±0.0°C
−1
+3%
2012
−0.5°C
−14
−3%
2013
−0.6°C
+21
+1%
2014
+0.2°C
−18
−3%
2015
−0.6°C
+1
+7%
2016
−0.3°C
+0
−5%
2017
+0.1°C
−4
−1%
2018
+0.1°C
+2
−1%
2019
±0.0°C
−9
−3%
2020
±0.0°C
−12
+7%
2021
+0.4°C
−1
−9%
2022
+0.6°C
−2
−1%
2023
+0.9°C
−5
−1%
2024
+0.5°C
−18
−1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Monaghan, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Ireland?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C
96±1.8 km/h
8089% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C
92±4.2 km/h
6782% hit
Met Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American
81
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C
94±2.8 km/h
6279% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±1°17° to 18°
±27%6% to 33% chance
Tomorrow
±2°16° to 18°
±50%50% to 100% chance
Tue
±1°13° to 14°
±20%67% to 87% chance
Wed
±1°11° to 12°
±28%33% to 61% chance
Thu
±2°11° to 13°
±18%66% to 84% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Monaghan
today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
18:56
Daylight
11h 21m
Common questions
What's the weather in Monaghan today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Monaghan today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Monaghan today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Monaghan on Monday 5 October: every model gives at least 50% (Met Office 100%, European 50%, American 56%). On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Monaghan?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Monaghan forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested IE accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Monaghan?
August is typically the warmest month in Monaghan, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Monaghan get?
The coldest month in Monaghan is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Monaghan get?
Monaghan sees roughly 1005 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
Is Monaghan getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Monaghan, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.