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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Ennis weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Ennis's high today between 17° and 20°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

19°11°
17°15°
15°9°
13°8°
15°8°
15°11°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
17°
Light drizzle
Feels 16° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Feels 16° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 86%

Latest for Ennis: Met Office (UKMO model): 17° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Light drizzle.

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Ennis weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ennis swings 15°C across the year, from 18°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1252 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1252 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
28,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ennis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ennis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ennis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
15° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
13° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
14° 9°
models agree

Ennis, Co. Clare. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ennis right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Ennis's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Ennis weather by month

what to expect in Ennis through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Ennis's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Ennis by season.

Jan
8°
3°
Cool
Feb
8°
4°
Cool
Mar
11°
5°
Cool
Apr
12°
6°
Cool
May
15°
7°
Mild
Jun
18°
11°
Mild
Jul
18°
12°
Mild
Aug
18°
13°
Mild
Sep
17°
10°
Mild
Oct
14°
8°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
11°
7°
Cool
Dec
9°
5°
Cool

What Ennis's weather is like through the year

Ennis runs from warm summers, with June highs near 18°C, to cool winters, when January lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Ennis sees roughly 1252 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Ennis

The most comfortable time to visit Ennis is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

How Ennis' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C

Around Ennis, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

7 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3 vs the 30-year average1996: +24 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: −5 vs the 30-year average2000: −1 vs the 30-year average2001: +15 vs the 30-year average2002: −10 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: −5 vs the 30-year average2005: −9 vs the 30-year average2006: +5 vs the 30-year average2007: −11 vs the 30-year average2008: −6 vs the 30-year average2009: +6 vs the 30-year average2010: +45 vs the 30-year average2011: +3 vs the 30-year average2012: −11 vs the 30-year average2013: +18 vs the 30-year average2014: −16 vs the 30-year average2015: −8 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: −5 vs the 30-year average2018: +1 vs the 30-year average2019: −14 vs the 30-year average2020: −11 vs the 30-year average2021: +5 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: −4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: −1% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −8% vs the 30-year average2002: +4% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: −3% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −12% vs the 30-year average2011: +4% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: +6% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −7% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −1% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.2°C+3+3%
1996−0.8°C+24−1%
1997+0.4°C+1−1%
1998+0.2°C−1+6%
1999+0.1°C−5+4%
2000−0.2°C−1+1%
2001−0.4°C+15−8%
2002+0.1°C−10+4%
2003+0.1°C+5−1%
2004+0.1°C−5+1%
2005+0.3°C−9+1%
2006+0.3°C+5+1%
2007+0.5°C−11−3%
2008−0.2°C−6+4%
2009−0.3°C+6+1%
2010−1.3°C+45−12%
2011±0.0°C+3+4%
2012−0.3°C−11−3%
2013−0.3°C+18+1%
2014+0.2°C−16−1%
2015−0.5°C−8+6%
2016−0.3°C−1−3%
2017+0.2°C−5−1%
2018+0.1°C+1−1%
2019+0.1°C−14+1%
2020±0.0°C−11+6%
2021+0.5°C+5−7%
2022+0.6°C−1−1%
2023+0.9°C−6−1%
2024+0.4°C−4−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Ennis, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ennis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
74
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C89±5.3 km/h4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C95±2.3 km/h3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Ennis, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 74. See the full IE accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 20°±29%4% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 17°±60%40% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±12%55% to 67% chance
Wed±1°13° to 14°±32%35% to 67% chance
Thu±1°15° to 15°±45%55% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ennis

today, local time
Sunrise
07:42
Sunset
19:05
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ennis today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model put Ennis's high today between 17° and 20°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ennis today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Ennis on Monday 5 October: Met Office 100%, European 55%, American 40%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ennis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ennis (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ennis?
June is typically the warmest month in Ennis, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Ennis get?
The coldest month in Ennis is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Ennis get?
Ennis sees roughly 1252 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Ennis?
The most comfortable time to visit Ennis is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Ennis?
Rarely - Ennis very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Ennis getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Ennis, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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