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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Bray weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Bray's high today between 18° and 21°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 20°, with a 23% chance of rain.

19°9°
20°16°
16°10°
13°7°
13°7°
16°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 9°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 9°·Rain 0%
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Bray weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bray swings 15°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 4°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1045 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
4°C average low
Wettest month
November
1045 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
34,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Bray and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bray hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bray 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 9°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
20° 16°
±2°
Tue
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13° 7°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
13° 9°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 9°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
13° 7°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree

Bray, Co. Wicklow. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Bray right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Bray's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

Bray weather by month

what to expect in Bray through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Bray's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Bray by season.

Jan
9°
5°
Cool
Feb
9°
4°
Cool
Mar
9°
4°
Cool
Apr
11°
6°
Cool
May
14°
8°
Cool
Jun
17°
11°
Mild
Jul
18°
13°
Mild
Aug
19°
13°
Mild
Sep
16°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
9°
Cool
Nov
10°
6°
Cool
Wettest
Dec
9°
5°
Cool

What Bray's weather is like through the year

Bray runs from warm summers, with August highs near 19°C, to cool winters, when February lows sit around 4°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Bray sees roughly 1045 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Bray

The most comfortable time to visit Bray is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

How Bray's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Bray, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

1 fewer night a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4 vs the 30-year average1996: +5 vs the 30-year average1997: −0 vs the 30-year average1998: −2 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: +1 vs the 30-year average2001: +1 vs the 30-year average2002: −3 vs the 30-year average2003: −3 vs the 30-year average2004: −0 vs the 30-year average2005: −3 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: −3 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: +6 vs the 30-year average2010: +23 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: +3 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −3 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: +7 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: −3 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: −2 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: −2% vs the 30-year average1998: +8% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −7% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +3% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: −2% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −10% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: +6% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −4% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −7% vs the 30-year average2022: −2% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.1°C+4+3%
1996−0.9°C+5+1%
1997+0.2°C−0−2%
1998+0.1°C−2+8%
1999±0.0°C−1+5%
2000−0.2°C+1+3%
2001−0.4°C+1−7%
2002+0.1°C−3+3%
2003+0.1°C−3−2%
2004±0.0°C−0+1%
2005+0.2°C−3+3%
2006+0.3°C−0+1%
2007+0.4°C−3−2%
2008−0.3°C−2+5%
2009−0.3°C+6+1%
2010−1.1°C+23−10%
2011±0.0°C−0+1%
2012−0.5°C−2−0%
2013−0.6°C+3−0%
2014+0.3°C−3−2%
2015−0.4°C−2+6%
2016−0.1°C−3−4%
2017+0.1°C−2−0%
2018±0.0°C+7−4%
2019±0.0°C−3−2%
2020±0.0°C−3+6%
2021+0.2°C−2−7%
2022+0.6°C−3−2%
2023+0.8°C−2−0%
2024+0.5°C−2−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bray, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bray?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±3.2 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C87±6.6 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
73
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C93±3.6 km/h4268% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Bray, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 74. See the full IE accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°19° to 21°±23%0% to 23% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±33%67% to 100% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±41%26% to 67% chance
Thu±2°12° to 14°±46%40% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bray

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:54
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bray today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model put Bray's high today between 18° and 21°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 20°, with a 23% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bray today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Bray on Monday 5 October: Met Office 0%, European 16%, American 23%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bray?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bray (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the IE accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bray?
August is typically the warmest month in Bray, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Bray get?
The coldest month in Bray is February, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Bray get?
Bray sees roughly 1045 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Bray?
The most comfortable time to visit Bray is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Bray?
Rarely - Bray very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Bray getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bray, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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