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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Athenry weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Athenry's high today between 16° and 19°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°11°
16°15°
14°8°
13°7°
15°7°
15°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 15° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 24 km/h · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 26 km/h · Humidity 90%

Latest for Athenry: Met Office (UKMO model): 16° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Light drizzle.

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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Athenry and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Athenry hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Athenry 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
14° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13° 7°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
13° 10°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
15° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 10°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
11° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
12° 7°
models agree

Athenry is a small town of about 4,445 people in Co. Galway, sitting at 53.3°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Athenry with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Oranmore, Loughrea, Galway.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland before you trust any single number.

How the weather around Athenry has changed since 1995

Athenry sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Galway. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Galway page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ireland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8089% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±4.2 km/h6782% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±2.8 km/h6279% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 60 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Ireland, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Ireland? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 19°±12%23% to 35% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 16°±35%65% to 100% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±29%71% to 100% chance
Wed±1°13° to 13°±36%31% to 67% chance
Thumodels agree15° to 15°±39%61% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Athenry

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
19:04
Daylight
11h 23m

Common questions

What's the weather in Athenry today?
Sunday 4 October: Met Office, the European and the American model put Athenry's high today between 16° and 19°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Athenry today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Athenry on Monday 5 October: every model gives at least 65% (Met Office 100%, European 80%, American 65%). On Sunday 4 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 35%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Athenry?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Athenry forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested IE accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.

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