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Is Apple Weather accurate?

The built-in weather app on every iPhone and Mac.

Quick answer

Apple Weather does not publish exactly how its forecast is made, so its accuracy cannot be independently verified. What we can grade is the open models, which we score directly on this page. Watching those models is the honest way to judge it.

How Apple Weather makes its forecast. Apple says the 10-day forecast in its Weather app is provided by Apple Weather, its own service, and lists ECMWF, the US National Weather Service/NOAA, Environment and Climate Change Canada, the Met Office and other national weather services among its data sources. It does not publish how it combines them. That matters, because it means no one outside Apple Weather can check its forecast against the recorded weather the way we check the open models.

Our verdict. Apple does not publish how it turns those sources into one forecast, so we cannot score Apple Weather directly. It also shows a single forecast, never the disagreement between models, so a confident-looking Apple forecast can hide a very uncertain day.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.0 mph9195% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy
83
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.1 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
Behind Met Office app
86
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±1.6 mph7586% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy
85
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±2.4 mph7586% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ireland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C96±2.1 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
Behind Met Office app
88
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C91±4.7 km/h8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy
88
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C94±3.2 km/h8089% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 266 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
Behind WeatherCAN, weather.gc.ca
86
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C94±2.9 km/h8491% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
Behind Windy
84
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C94±3.2 km/h7888% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Which forecast is most accurate in Australia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C95±2.3 km/h8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
Behind Windy
79
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±2.4 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
Behind Windy
78
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C91±4.3 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Which forecast is most accurate in New Zealand?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.7 km/h8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy
81
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C91±4.6 km/h7888% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
Behind Windy
81
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±3.1 km/h6983% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Scoreboardet, model for model

CheckWeather-score, målt mod det vejr der faktisk kom
UdbyderCheckWeather-scoreTemperaturNedbørDrives af
E
ECMWF ★ Bedst
91
/100nr. 1
89±0,5°C99% af dagene ramtECMWFEuropæisk vejrcenter, Reading, England
D
DMI
81
/100nr. 2
56±1,0°C90% af dagene ramtDMIDanmarks Meteorologiske Institut, København
Y
YR
76
/100nr. 3
40±1,4°C80% af dagene ramtMET NorwayMeteorologisk institutt, Oslo

CheckWeather-score lægger præcisionen på temperatur, vind og nedbør sammen, hver især målt mod ERA5, altså det vejr der faktisk blev registreret, over 45 dage frem til 25. august 2026 i 50 byer. Mindre fejl giver højere score.

Common questions

Is Apple Weather accurate?
Apple does not publish how it turns those sources into one forecast, so we cannot score Apple Weather directly. It also shows a single forecast, never the disagreement between models, so a confident-looking Apple forecast can hide a very uncertain day.
What forecast model does Apple Weather use?
Apple says the 10-day forecast in its Weather app is provided by Apple Weather, its own service, and lists ECMWF, the US National Weather Service/NOAA, Environment and Climate Change Canada, the Met Office and other national weather services among its data sources. It does not publish how it combines them.
Which is more accurate - Apple Weather or the raw models?
Apple Weather does not publish exactly how it turns model data into its forecast, so it cannot be graded head to head. The advantage of comparing the models directly, the way we do, is that you also see the disagreement between them - the single best signal of how much to trust today's forecast, and something Apple Weather does not show.

Compare the forecasts yourself