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Is The Weather Network accurate?

Canada's dominant weather brand, on TV, web and mobile.

Quick answer

The Weather Network does not publish exactly how its forecast is made, so its accuracy cannot be independently verified. What we can grade is the open models: the Env. Canada model scored 86/100 in our test for Canada. Watching those models is the honest way to judge it.

How The Weather Network makes its forecast. The Weather Network does not publish which models or data its forecast is built from, so its exact numbers cannot be checked independently. That matters, because it means no one outside The Weather Network can check its forecast against the recorded weather the way we check the open models.

Our verdict. What we can verify is how the open models did in Canada, including Environment Canada's own GEM model, from the agency behind the WeatherCAN app and weather.gc.ca. See the Canadian scoreboard on this page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
Behind WeatherCAN, weather.gc.ca
86
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C94±2.9 km/h8491% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
Behind Windy
84
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C94±3.2 km/h7888% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.

Common questions

Is The Weather Network accurate?
What we can verify is how the open models did in Canada, including Environment Canada's own GEM model, from the agency behind the WeatherCAN app and weather.gc.ca. See the Canadian scoreboard on this page.
What forecast model does The Weather Network use?
The Weather Network does not publish which models or data its forecast is built from, so its exact numbers cannot be checked independently.
Which is more accurate - The Weather Network or the raw models?
The Weather Network does not publish exactly how it turns model data into its forecast, so it cannot be graded head to head. The advantage of comparing the models directly, the way we do, is that you also see the disagreement between them - the single best signal of how much to trust today's forecast, and something The Weather Network does not show.

Compare the forecasts yourself